Got to go with Air Force here. They won last years regular season battle 31-28, and then lost in this very Bowl game when Houston had revenge. The score of that game 34-28 still Air Force right in the game. They play Houston well as they have the #1 pass defense going up against the #1 pass offense. Granted they really are not as good as that because they run the ball so much, and even BYU passed for 370 yards, but BYU is better than Houston anyway. Strength of schedule believe it or not is on Air Forces side as their opponents have a .519 winning percentage and Houston's has a .451. Houston looked awful many times this year and especially against team that could run the ball like Airforce does #3 in the nation. Houston is ranked #111 int he nation in run defense and I look for AirForce to exploit that and get revenge from their loss in this bowl game a year ago. Air Force has faced 4 teams with bad run defenses and they are 4-0. Those 4 teams had run defenses of 113, 85, 83, and 93. The results were all wins by a combined score of 131-44. Granted this is Houston, but I give Air force an excellent shot at winning this game and I'll make it a small play here.
